Friday, 12 September 2014

Nigeria Economy Resisting Ebola, Finance Minister Says

Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala, Nigeria's finance minister.

The Ebola outbreak in West African countries is not seriously affecting the Nigerian economy, Finance Minister Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala said.

Nigeria, Africa’s biggest economy, has recorded 21 cases of the virus, and eight people have died within its borders, according to the World Health Organization. There were no current confirmed cases as of Sept. 10, the health ministry says.

“We have a team monitoring the economic impact and we don’t feel we are yet at the point where we can say it’s having a huge impact on the economy,” Okonjo-Iweala said in an interview with Bloomberg TV Africa late yesterday. “There’s been some fall-off in hotel occupancy, in Lagos in particular, some meetings have been postponed, but you still have other businesspeople who are arriving.”

Ebola has killed at least 2,288 people in Guinea, Liberia and Sierra Leone, countries on Africa’s Atlantic coast that don’t border Nigeria. On Sept. 9, the parent of Nigeria’s biggest company, Dangote Cement (DANGCEM), said it was postponing a planned investor day in Lagos, the commercial hub, as a result of Ebola-related travel fears.

Okonjo-Iweala also said that the country’s Excess Crude Account, where a portion of oil revenue is stored to cushion the economy against volatility, stands at $4.11 billion. That’s the same level as reported by ThisDay newspaper in July.

Vulnerable Economy

The minister said in January she was concerned that a decline in the account balance to about $2.5 billion at that time had left the economy “vulnerable” and should be redressed this year.

The country plans to open the Development Bank of Nigeria in the next six to nine months. The lender will initially be capitalized with $2 billion, a figure that may rise to as much as $10 billion, and fill a gap in Nigerian business lending, the minister said.

“It’s very difficult for businesspeople, especially small and medium-sized enterprises, to find any money for five years, seven years,” she said. “Mostly they can borrow for a year to three years. If you want to build a business sustainably and you want your economy to have sustained growth you’ve got to fix access to finance.”

The development bank will be partly financed by the Nigerian government, and is also due to receive $500 million each from the World Bank and the African Development Bank, and a credit line from the German development bank, KfW Group, she said.

“It’s going to be strong and get rated,” she said.

Debt Risks

Referring to recent African Eurobond issues, Okonjo-Iweala said governments should exercise discipline in borrowing. She negotiated debt relief for Nigeria from the Paris Club group of creditors in 2005 during her first stint as finance minister.

“It has to be investment with high returns to justify the borrowing, but even then I would be very cautious and I think on the continent we shouldn’t get too enamored with floating these bonds,” she said.
 
African nations from Senegal to Kenya have sold sovereign debt this year as borrowing costs dropped to a 15-month low in August, according to JPMorgan Chase & Co. indexes. The West African nation of Ghana said yesterday it had sold $1 billion of bonds due January 2026 that were priced to yield 8.25 percent.

“We have to watch it so we don’t find ourselves as a continent back in the situation we were in before,” the minister said. “Each time you go to float these Eurobonds you should do it making sure you get reasonable yields. I’m not one to say, let’s rush out and accumulate a lot of debt, maybe because of my experience trying to get debt relief.”

Link: http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-09-11/nigeria-economy-resisting-ebola-finance-minister-says.html

Nigeria’s Enterprise Bank Set for Local Buyer After Bids







Enterprise Bank Ltd., the Nigerian lender taken over by the state in 2011, may be sold to a unit linked to Heritage Banking Co., with a second local institution next in line.

While HBC Investment Services is the preferred buyer, Nigeria’s Fidelity Bank Plc (FIDELITY) is the “reserve bidder for the acquisition of the entire issued and fully paid up ordinary shares of Enterprise Bank,” the Asset Management Corp., or Amcon, said in a statement yesterday.

“This process started with interest shown by 24 parties cutting across local and international bidders,” said Amcon, which is based in the capital, Abuja. The sale is being coordinated by a unit of Citigroup Inc. (C) and Vetiva Capital Management Ltd., it said.

Amcon was set up in 2010 to buy bad loans and took over three of the eight lenders it rescued as part of a 620 billion-naira ($3.8 billion) bailout. It has been preparing the sales of distressed assets held by Enterprise, Mainstreet Bank Ltd. and Keystone Bank Ltd. for the past three years, with Enterprise the first to be put up for sale.

Enterprise resumed operations in August 2011 “as a full-service commercial bank with a national banking license,” Amcon said. It has 160 branches and 177 automated teller machines in Africa’s largest economy with a population of more than 170 million people.

Link: http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-09-12/nigeria-s-enterprise-bank-set-for-local-buyer-after-bids.html

Thursday, 31 October 2013

How to Make the Most Money in the Stock Market

On today's "Insight & Action," Adam Johnson looks at how to make the most amount of money in the stock market on Bloomberg Television's "Street Smart."



Barclays, Next lift FTSE for fifth straight day

 
The U.K.'s benchmark stock index inched higher on Wednesday for a fifth straight day of gains, as well-received earnings updates from Barclays PLC (BCS.NaE) and Next PLC (NXGPF.NaE) stoked momentum.

The FTSE 100 index rose 2.97 points, or 0.04%, to end at 6,777.70, marking the highest closing level since May.

Barclays (BCS.NaE) rose 0.9% after a well-received earnings report. The bank posted a decline in underlying third-quarter profit, but Chief Executive Antony Jenkins said the firm has made good progress on the restructuring program and has moved faster than expected in getting rid of loan portfolios earmarked for sale. Investec Securities analyst Ian Gordon kept a buy rating on the bank and said in a note that Barclays (BCS.NaE) remains their preferred U.K. domestic bank.

Next rallied 4.7% after the clothing retailer raised its full-year profit guidance as it reported a 4.3% rise in third-quarter brand sales.

Petrofac Ltd (POFCF.NaE) added 0.7% after the gas and oil-services provider was awarded a $650-million project in Algeria with Italian lump-sum contractor Bonatti.

BP PLC (BP.NaE) gained 0.9% after Soci?t? G?n?rale lifted the oil major to buy from hold. The company on Tuesday posted its biggest percentage gain since January 2011, after saying it would sell $10 billion in assets by the end of 2015 and use the proceeds for 'additional distributions to shareholders.'

On a more downbeat note in London, shares of Standard Life PLC (SLFPF.NaE) dropped 4% after reporting quarterly inflows and assets under administration slightly below expectations.

Pearson PLC (PSO.NaE) shares lost 3.6% after the publisher warned that full-year operating profit is expected to be lower than in 2012 due to the accounting impact of the Penguin Random House transaction and weak market conditions for college textbooks in North American Education.

Link:
https://www.fidelity.co.uk/investor/news-views/today-in-the-markets/details.page?resId=201310300814MRKTWTCHNEWS_SVC_138C7F56-4150-11E3-8D5D-00212803FAD6&requestId=1&showChain=true&FullArticle=true

Asia stocks mostly lower after Fed statement











Asian markets were mostly lower Thursday as disappointing earnings combined with steady Federal Reserve policy to bring the region down.

The Fed met expectations by leaving its stimulus program unchanged at its policy meeting, though it did surprise with its upbeat assessment of the economy. This raised fears that a change in policy could come sooner than expected, weighing on regional sentiment.

Some investors were looking for the central bank to downgrade its economic outlook after the government shutdown and budget impasse earlier this month.

In fact, the government shutdown was a major focus for global markets in the first half of October. Asian stocks proved resilient through the drama, and most markets in the region look set to post respectable gains for the month.

The Philippines' PSE Composite is up 6.4% for the month, while Australia recorded a 4% gain. China has been a laggard in October, as a rise in local interbank lending rates resulted in the Shanghai Composite giving back some of its gains from earlier in the month and was 1.5% lower for the month.

On Thursday, the Nikkei Average was one of the region's worst performers, with the index down 1.2%, as a series of disappointing earnings results helped bring down the market.

Honda Motor Co. (HMC.NaE) fell 1.3% after it announced net profit for the quarter ended September, which came in below expectations. Battery-maker GS Yuasa Corp. (GYUAF.NaE) sank 6.1% after posting a first-half operating profit that was below guidance.

In Tokyo, ANA Holdings (ALNPF.NaE) declined 4.7% after the airline lowered its 2013 fiscal-year net profit forecast by 65% on higher fuel costs and slow service expansion because of delays in Boeing 787 Dreamliner deliveries.

Investors were also reacting negatively to earnings from Chinese firms in the financial sector. Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index fell 0.4%, and the Shanghai Composite lost 0.9% on the mainland.

Lenders in China were in focus after several of the country's largest banks reported their third-quarter earnings, with profit growth continuing to decline as the sector faced a maturing economy and interest-rate pressure.

Bank stocks fell in Hong Kong after a sharp increase during the previous session. Bank of Communications (BKFCF.NaE) dropped 1.1%, while Agricultural Bank of China (ACGBF.NaE) managed a 1.1% gain.

China Minsheng Banking Corp. (CGMBF.NaE) , a stock that came under pressure during China's liquidity crisis in the summer, fell 2.4% in Hong Kong. The country's eighth-largest lender reported its interest income rose by just 3%.

Chinese brokerages posted strong profit growth for the nine months that ended in September, as the industry benefited from increased trading volumes and higher investment returns. The market didn't welcome the news: Citic Securities (CIIHF.NaE) was down 2.1% in Shanghai, and Haitong Securities was 1.3% lower.

Australia's S&P/ASX 200 rose 0.2%, and South Korea's Kospi dropped 1.4%.

National Australia Bank (NAUBF.NaE) fell 2.5% in Sydney after the lender posted full-year earnings in line with market forecasts, though costs were ahead of expectations.

Link:
https://www.fidelity.co.uk/investor/news-views/today-in-the-markets/asia-detail.page?resId=201310302219MRKTWTCHNEWS_SVC_8C15BF6C-41CF-11E3-B0DB-00212803FAD6&requestId=1&showChain=true&FullArticle=true

Stock futures point lower; claims, PMI ahead

 U.S. stock futures pointed to a lower open on Wall Street on Thursday, set to extend losses sparked by a less-dovish-than-expected statement from the Federal Reserve a day earlier.

Investors also will eye earnings from Exxon Mobil Corp. (XOM.NaE) and ConocoPhillips (COP.NaE) as well as latest report on jobless claims and Chicago PMI.

Futures for the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 28 points, or 0.2%, to 15,525, while those for the S&P 500 index fell 4.90 points, or 0.3%, to 1,755.70. Futures for the Nasdaq 100 index gave up 15.25 points, 0.5%, to 3,377.00.

The losses built on weakness seen on Wednesday, when U.S. stocks retreated from record levels as investors assessed the Fed's statement after its two-day policy meeting. As expected, the central bank made no changes to interest rates or asset-purchases program, but the accompanying statement left some Fed observers worried the tapering process could come sooner than expected. The bank was not as uncertain on the economy -- thus more dovish on monetary policy -- as some had expected, given the recent string of weak data and the government shutdown earlier in the month.

The Wall Street Journal's Jon Hilsenrath, an influential Fed watcher, suggested that the Fed 'isn't taking a December adjustment to the bond-buying program off the table.' Ahead of the meeting this week, several analysts saw March tapering as more likely.

Analysts at Deutsche Bank said in a note on Thursday that 'the market had perhaps hit a near-term complacency peak on the timing of the taper and maybe yesterday's statement should be a reminder that the Fed probably does want to taper soon even if it might actually struggle to do so in reality. Sounds like a recipe for a bit of volatility in a generally high-liquidity environment.'

Data out on Thursday will give further hints to the health of the economy. At 8:30 a.m. Eastern Time, data are expected to show that jobless claims fell to 335,000 in the week ended Oct. 26 from 350,000 in the prior week, according to economists polled by MarketWatch.

But lately the report has not been very reliable as an indicator of labor-market trends, partly due to processing delays in California and private-sector layoffs related to the government shutdown.

There is also Chicago PMI data for October out at 9:45 a.m., expected to show a drop to 54.5 from 55.7 in September.

On the earnings calendar, Exxon Mobil (XOM.NaE) , ConocoPhillips (COP.NaE) and American International Group Inc. (AIG.NaE) were among the highlights.

For Exxon, analysts polled by FactSet expect third-quarter earnings of $1.77 a share. The company's board on Wednesday declared a fourth-quarter dividend of 63 cents a share, unchanged from the third quarter.

ConocoPhillips (COP.NaE) is likely to post third-quarter earnings of $1.46 a share.

After the closing bell, AIG is projected to report third-quarter earnings of 96 cents a share. Analysts at Keefe, Bruyette & Woods recently said insurers like AIG are likely to post strong underwriting results in the third quarter due to mostly favorable global weather.

Among notable movers ahead of the open, shares of Facebook Inc. (FB.NaE) climbed 3.5% after the social-media firm late Wednesday said it earned 25 cents a share on an adjusted basis in the third quarter, beating the average consensus of 19 cents a share.

Expedia Inc. (EXPE.NaE) soared 19% premarket after late Wednesday reporting an 8% rise in adjusted earnings per share to $1.43, above Wall Street's forecast of $1.36 share.

Starbucks Corp. (SBUX.NaE) slipped 1.7% in premarket trade, even as the company on Wednesday said its fourth-quarter profit came in at 63 cents a share, beating the consensus estimate of 60 cents a share.

In other financial markets, both Asian and European markets were mostly higher, while the dollar rose. Metals dropped across the board, while oil prices inched higher.


Link:
https://www.fidelity.co.uk/investor/news-views/today-in-the-markets/us-detail.page?resId=201310310644MRKTWTCHNEWS_SVC_05E5B484-420F-11E3-8D5D-00212803FAD6&requestId=1&showChain=true&FullArticle=true

European stocks fall after Fed update



European stock markets declined on Thursday, as investors digested the latest statement from the U.S. Federal Reserve, which some analysts found less dovish than expected.

The Stoxx Europe 600 index dropped 0.1% to 320.36, trimming its monthly gain to 3.2%.

Shares of Alcatel-Lucent SA jumped 15% after the telecom-equipment maker posted a narrower loss in the third quarter, helped by a rise in revenue.

Novo Nordisk AS slid 4.1% after the insulin maker reported third-quarter earnings slightly below expectations, and made downgrades to its guidance for sales and operating profit.

Shares of Technip SA (TNHPF.NaE) slumped 7% after the oil-services group amended its full-year revenue targets to reflect lower expectations for revenue from subsea activities, while revenue from onshore and offshore businesses is forecast to rise at a faster pace.

More broadly, investors looked to the U.S., where the Federal Reserve concluded a two-day meeting on Wednesday by making no changes to its interest rates or quantitative-easing program. The statement out after the meeting showed few changes from the September statement, but market participants had expected the Fed to be more bearish on the economy, and thus more dovish on monetary policy, given recent weak data.

'A run of weak economic data and the fallout from the U.S. shutdown had markets cemented to the view that tapering wouldn't begin until March next year at the earliest,' said Jonathan Sudaria, dealer at London Capital Group, in a note.

'The lack of symmetry between how the Fed sees the economy and how markets have interpreted the data has traders concerned that they've pushed out the timeline for tapering too far. With the foundations of the recent rally built on the idea that tapering was continually being kicked further and further down the road, bulls could be in for a rude awakening,' he added.

U.S. stock futures pointed to a lower open on Wall Street. Asia markets closed mostly lower.

In Europe, the U.K.'s FTSE 100 index was on track to break a five-day winning streak, down 0.4% at 6,751.60.

France's CAC 40 index dropped 0.2% to 4,263.23, while Germany's DAX 30 index fell 0.2% to 8,994.03.

Link:
https://www.fidelity.co.uk/investor/news-views/today-in-the-markets/europe-detail.page?resId=201310310509MRKTWTCHNEWS_SVC_72A3A840-4207-11E3-8D5D-00212803FAD6&requestId=1&showChain=true&FullArticle=true